Conference Program
(as of 7 June 2025)
3 July 2025, Thursday | |||||||||
8:30 am–9:00 am (Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Registration | ||||||||
9:00 am–9:15 am (Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Opening session
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9:15 am–9:45 am (Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Keynote Speech: “Geopolitics and Developing Asia” Krislert Samphantharak, Professor of Economics and Public Policy, University of California San Diego | ||||||||
9:45 am–10:00 am (outside Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Coffee break | ||||||||
10:00 am–12:00 pm |
Parallel Sessions 1A - 1H |
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| (Room B101 ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 1A: The Chinese Economy | 1 |
Why Is There So Much Surveillance in China: An Explanation From A Fiscal Perspective |
2 |
Leapfrogging by Switching Lanes: Directed Technical Change in China’s Transition to Electric Vehicles |
3 |
Privatization, Human Capital, and Intergenerational Mobility: Long-term Evidence from China |
4 | Fiscal Rules for China: Lessons from Europe |
| (Room 245, ChengZe Gardenl) | Parallel Session 1B: | 1 |
Does Monetary Policy Influence CBDC and Bank Stability Dynamics? Evidence from India and the People’s Republic of China |
2 |
Effects of Digital Financial Inclusion on the Demand for Money: Evidence from Bangladesh |
3 |
The Adoption of CBDC in Emerging Market: Insights from a Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis of the Indonesian Market |
4 |
Enhancing Digital Services Trade: The Case of the People’s Republic of China |
| (Room 246, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 1C: Monetary Policy | 1 |
Monetary Policy and Risk-Taking: Evidence from Thai Corporate Bond Markets |
2 |
Beyond the Aggregate: Heterogeneous Effects of Monetary Policy on Credit Allocation |
3 |
Monetary Policy and Corporate Productivity in Emerging Markets |
4 | What They Do in the Shadows: Chinese Shadow Credit Growth and Monetary Policy |
| (Room 249, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 1D: Trade I |
1 |
Trade Policy, Green Goods and the Labor Market: Evidence from the Philippines |
2 |
The Direct and Indirect Trade Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative: Evidence from Exports to China |
3 |
Redefining Trade: How Industry 4.0 Impacts Service Flows in the Asia-Pacific |
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(Room 344, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 1E: Health I | 1 | Restricting Mothers' International Migration and Human Capital Investment | 2 | Smoking Like a Hero? Media Regulation and Adolescents Smoking Behaviour in Mainland China | 3 | Health Shocks and Uneven Recovery: The Role of Prevention and Insurance | 4 | Indoor Air Pollution Reduction and Child Health: Evidence from a Randomized Trial in a High Pollution Middle-Income Country |
(Room 345, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 1F: Climate Change and Environment I | 1 | Urban Sprawl and Residential Carbon Emissions: Evidence from Indonesia and the Philippines Cities | 2 | Heating Up Risk Aversion: The Long-Term Impact of Prenatal Temperature on Risk Preferences | 3 | The Poor are Exposed to Higher Indoor Air Pollution: Primary Survey Evidence in A Middle-Income Country | 4 | Unintended Consequences of Mandatory Employee Heat Protection: Evidence From Chinese Firms |
(Room 131, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 1G: Agriculture and Food Security | 1 | Food Insecurity, Inflation and Government Aid: Evidence from a Household Survey in Developing Asia | 2 | Charity Hazard in Climate Disaster Response: The Effect of Humanitarian Cash Transfers on Demand for Agricultural Insurance | 3 | The Impact of Cash Transfer on Food Security in Cambodia | 4 | Grain for Green: Balancing Ecological Protection and Food Security Under Climate Change |
(Room 132, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 1H: Gender I | 1 | The Gendered Effect of Television Exposure on Educational Aspirations | 2 | Fertility and Education Decisions in Developing Countries: The Role of Social Norms | 3 | Towards a Gender Equal Developing Asia: Are Migrants’ Remittances Viable Paths? | 4 | Doing More Harm Than Good? Labor Market Consequences to Paid Maternity Leave Extension of India |
12:10 pm–12:50 pm (B1 canteen) | Lunch break | ||||||||
12:50 pm–1:20 pm (Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Lunch talk “China’s Industrial Policy” Hanming Fang, Norman Grosman Professor of Economics, University of Pennsylvania Moderator: Albert Park, Chief Economist, Asian Development Bank | ||||||||
1:30 pm–3:30 pm | Parallel Sessions 2A - 2H | ||||||||
(Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 2A: Asian Development Review | 1 | Agriculture-Environment Trade off of Road Expansion in Rugged Terrain: Evidence from Nepal | 2 | Growing Under the Green Great Wall: Agricultural Impacts of China’s Three-North Shelterbelt Program | 3 | Impact of Welfare Card Scheme on Household Economic Development in Rural Thailand | ||
(Room 245, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 2B: Technology and Innovation I | 1 | Do Technological Innovation Influence Productive Capacities in Asia-Pacific region? Evidence from a Dynamic Model Approach | 2 | Technological Decoupling? The Impact on Innovation of US Restrictions on Chinese Firms | 3 | Harvesting the Breeding Technology Effectively: Evidence from County-level Study on Newly-Bred Rice Variety Adoption in Southern China | 4 | Technological Capabilities and Exports: Evidence form Indian Manufacturing Firms |
(Room 246, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 2C: Nowcasting and Economic Growth | 1 | Evaluating the Economic Impact of Pilot Free Trade Zones in China: A Nightlight Data Approach | 2 | An Econometric Framework to Nowcast Low-Frequency Data | 3 | Nowcasting Sri Lankan GDP | 4 | Exchange Rate Effects on Firm Performance: A NICER Approach |
(Room 249, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 2D: Domestic Resource Mobilization and Governance I | 1 | Mutual Knowledge of Social Norms and Political Behavior | 2 | Political Favor, Development Projects, and Household Wellbeing (The Case of the Greater Hambantota Development Program, Sri Lanka) | 3 | Local Favoritism in State Formation | ||
(Room 344, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 2E: Inequality, Saving, and Development | 1 | Global Technological Diffusion and Wage Inequality: A Cross-Country Analysis | 2 | Inclusive Financial Reform, Rigid Land Arrangement, and Rural Transformation: Evidence from County-level and Farm-level Data in China | 3 | An Experimental Study of the Competitive Saving Motive | 4 | Structural Change and Regional Income Convergence: Evidence from China |
(Room 345, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 2F: Climate Change and Environment II | 1 | The Demand, Supply, and Market Responses of Corporate ESG Actions: Evidence from a Nationwide Experiment in China | 2 | Response to Incentives to Conserve Electricity and Household Behavior: Evidence from Field Experiment | 3 | Informal Risk Sharing to Mitigate Local Environmental Risks | 4 | Impact of Climate Vulnerability on Fiscal Risk: Do Political Stability and Financial Development Matter? |
(Room 131, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 2G: Labor I | 1 | Adapting to Adversity: An Analysis of Employment and Wage Trends in Indonesia's COVID-19 Landscape | 2 | Labour Market Effects of the Pricing Behaviour of Exporters in A Large Developing Economy | 3 | Pandemic Scars: Tracking a Changing Job Landscape in Indonesia | 4 | Family Labor, Enforcement, and Product Quality: Evidence from the Lao Textile Industry |
(Room 132, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 2H: Health and Education | 1 | Environmental Degradation and Mental Health: The Economic Burden of Depression in Indonesia Due to Air Pollution | 2 | Sad! I Got Talent but My Mom Doesn’t Know It: Parental Belief Gap and Adolescent Depression | 3 | A Land of Sages: A Legacy of Former Elites and University Professors in Vietnam | 4 | Counseling, Gender Norms, and Labor Allocation: Evidence from Community-Based Learning Interventions |
3:30 pm–3:45 pm (outside Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Coffee break | ||||||||
3:45 pm–5:15 pm | Parallel Session 3A - 3H | ||||||||
(Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 3A: Social Security and Pension | 1 | “Growing Pains” in China’s Social Security System | 2 | Reshaping Traditions: Pension Reform, Son Preference, and Old Age Support | 3 | Small Size, Big Impact: How Pension Funds and Insurance Companies Drive Yield Curve in Emerging Economies | ||
(Room 245, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 3B: Green Economy | 1 | From Digital Carts to Cleaner Air: The Role of E-commerce in Reducing Urban Air Pollution | 2 | Enhancing Energy Supply Resilience: Total Cost of Ownership Analysis of Hydrogen Fuel Cell Trucks in the People’s Republic of China | 3 | On the Legal Foundations of Green Bonds | ||
(Room 246, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 3C: Macroeconomics and Finance I | 1 | Second-Round Effects and Asymmetry in Oil and Food Price Shocks to Inflation | 2 | Monetary Policy Under Fiscal Stress: A Forward-Looking Analysis of Fiscal Dominance | 3 | A Tale of Two Cities: The Effectiveness of Macroprudential and Regulatory Policies in the Housing Markets - Singapore versus Hong Kong SAR | ||
(Room 249, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 3D: Regional Cooperation and Economic Integration I | 1 | Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Dynamics in Viet Nam after the US–PRC Trade Dispute | 2 | Chains of Resilience? The US-China Trade War and Firm Back shoring | 3 | New Role of Trade Intermediaries as an Absorber of Unanticipated Financial Shock: The Case of Delay in Export Tax Rebates in China | ||
(Room 344, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 3E: Learning and Education I | 1 | Mentoring, Educational Preferences, and Career Choice: Evidence from Two Field Experiments in Bhutan | 2 | The Last or Lasting Samurai? The Impact of Secondary Schools on Elite Formation in Early Development | 3 | Microcredit Expansion and Education: Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Thailand | ||
(Room 345, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 3F: Corporate Investment and Finance | 1 | Capital Structure and Firm Performance: Exploring the Moderating and Mediating Effects ofAgency Costs in Vietnam | 2 | It's Not Only China: Firm-level Evidence on Trade Spillovers from Emerging Markets | 3 | The Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Firm Investment: The Role of Intangible Assets in China | ||
(Room 131, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 3G: Agriculture and Rural Development | 1 | Agricultural Mechanization Services, Adverse Selection and Multi-stage Productivity of Small Farms: Evidence from Wheat Production in North China | 2 | Crops, Bugs, and Disease: The Unintended Consequences of Environmental Policies on Ecosystem and Human Health | 3 | Impact of Female Non-Agricultural Employment on the Family Resilience : A Case Study of Relocated Families in Poverty Alleviation Relocation | ||
(Room 132, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 3H: Infrastructure I | 1 | Comparative Study of the Impact of the Indian Transportation Infrastructure on Firm-level Performance with Focus on Inland Waterways | 2 | Two Infrastructure Improvements in One City | 3 | 3G Rollout and Firm Efficiency: Evidence from Vietnam | ||
6:00 pm–8:30 pm (6:00 pm–6:40 pm) (6:40-8:30pm) | Conference Dinner: the Lakeview Hotel (博雅国际会议中⼼) Dinner Talk
Conference Dinner | ||||||||
4 July 2025, Friday | |||||||||
8:30 am–9:00 am (Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Registration | ||||||||
9:00 am–9:30 am (Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Keynote Speech: “The Impact of Chernobyl on Global Nuclear Investment”
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9:30 am–9:45 am (outside Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Coffee break | ||||||||
9:45 am–11:45 am |
Parallel Sessions 4A - 4H |
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| (Room B101 ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 4A: | 1 |
From Population Growth to Demographic Scarcity: A Research Note on Emerging Challenges to Global Primary Education Provision in the Twenty-First Century |
2 |
The Impacts of Health Insurance Expansion on Retirement Decisions of Rural Population: Evidence from China |
3 |
The Differential Impact of Aging on Structural Change: Insights from Cross-Country Analysis Based on Income Levels and Human Capital |
4 | Does Aging Hinder Growth? A Provincial Analysis of the Effects of Population Aging on Economic Growth in Thailand |
| (Room 245, ChengZe Gardenl) | Parallel Session 4B: | 1 |
Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Skill Premium and Human Capital Investment |
2 |
Estimating the Real Effect of Endogenous Digital Technology Adoption |
3 |
E-Reaching the Out of Reach: Evidence on Educating Out of School Children Using Digital Content and Remote Tutoring |
4 |
Lending Over the Technology Lifecycle: Strategies for Information Search by Banks in Renewable Energy Project Finance |
| (Room 246, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 4C: Macroeconomics and Finance III | 1 |
The Power and Pitfalls of Industrial Policy: Evidence from China |
2 |
Interest Rate Caps, Corporate Lending, and Bank Market Power: Evidence from Bangladesh |
3 |
Understanding Risk Spreaders and Systemic Risk in the Indian Financial Networks: A Gravity Centrality Approach |
4 | Operator Learning in Heterogenous Agent Models |
| (Room 249, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 4D: Trade II |
1 |
Connector Economies in A Fragmenting World |
2 |
Infrastructure Quality, Cross-Border Connectivity and Trade Costs |
3 |
Firm Linkages and Domestic Value Added in Exports: Moving up the Global Value Chains with High-Speed Railways |
4 | Special Economic Zones and Local Economic Upgrading: An Analysis of Provincial Economic Complexity in Vietnam |
(Room 344, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 4E: Poverty and Microfinance | 1 | When Financial Inclusion Backfires: Equilibrium Effects with Middlemen in Goods Markets | 2 | Like Father Like Son? Social Engineering and Intergenerational Mobility in Housing Consumption | 3 | Building Hope for the Poor | 4 | Kinship Norms, Micro-Entrepreneurship, and A Poverty Reduction Programme in Nepal |
(Room 345, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 4F: Climate Change and Environment III | 1 | Do Carbon Abatement Costs Affect Firm Performance? Evidence from A Developing Economy | 2 | Environmental Policy Coordination | 3 | From Employer Responsibility to Environmental Irresponsibility: Unintended Effects of Social Insurance Law on Pollution Emissions | 4 | Scorched Venture: Heat, Entrepreneurship, and Adaptive Policy |
(Room 131, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 4G: Labor II | 1 | The Unseen Pain of the Viet Nam War: Long Term Effects of Agent Orange on Labor Market Outcomes | 2 | Labour Market Shocks in Kyrgyzstan: How Emigration Influences Wage Levels | 3 | Exploring Risk Tolerance, Soft Skills, and Working Conditions Across Informal Labor Markets in India: Experimental Evidence | 4 | How Much Income Gap Persists Across Gender Dimensions Due to Climate Change? New Evidence from Bangladesh |
(Room 132, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 4H: Structural Change | 1 | Structural Change and Growth Trajectories through Counterfactual Quantile Decomposition | 2 | How Do Households’ View on Inflation Expectations Affect Their Consumption Decisions? | 3 | Climate-Related Shocks and Inflation: Challenges for Central Bank in Emerging Economies | 4 | The Moderating Role of Macroprudential Policy on Credit Growth and Bank Risk-Taking Behaviour: Evidence from Emerging Market Economies |
11:45 am–12:30 pm (B1 canteen) | Lunch break | ||||||||
12:30 pm–1:15 pm (Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Lunch event: “Harnessing Digital Transformation for Good: Asian Development Policy Report” | ||||||||
1:15 pm–3:15 pm | Parallel Sessions 5A - 5H | ||||||||
(Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 5A: Harnessing Digital Transformation for Good | 1 | Corporate Digital Transformation and Environmental Performance: Evidence from the People’s Republic of China | 2 | Artificial Intelligence, Robots, and Their Implications for Employment and Labor Productivity: Firm-Level Evidence from Korea | 3 | Digital Monitoring Technology and Air Quality: Evidence from the People's Republic of China | 4 | Digitalization and Employment: Lessons from the Developed and Developing Countries |
(Room 245, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 5B: Domestic Resource Mobilization and Governance II | 1 | The Green Costs of Public Debt Burdens: Evidence from Local Government Debt Restructuring | 2 | Unveiling Fiscal Illusion and Flypaper Effect in Subnational Public Expenditure: A Panel ARDL Analysis of India | 3 | Stabilizing the Unstable: The Political Economy of Central-Local Relations in China's Financial Governance | ||
(Room 246, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 5C: Migration | 1 | Can Migration Barriers Save Firm Productivity in a Developing Country? | 2 | Drought and Migration: Evidence from the Kyrgyz Republic | 3 | The Impact of Immigration on Social Trust of Natives: Evidence from the Mass Migration in China | 4 | De-localizing the Local Impacts of Trade through Migration: Evidence from Viet Nam |
(Room 249, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 5D: Learning and Education II | 1 | Catching Up is Hard to Do: Intra-Curricular Technology Adoption, Teacher Training and Student Learning Gaps | 2 | Higher Education Expansion and Regional Inequality in China | 3 | How Does On-Campus Housing Shape Students’ Outcomes? Evidence from an East Asian University | 4 | The Association Between Adverse Temperature Shocks and Schooling Outcomes in India: Impact Quantification and Mitigation Potentials |
(Room 344, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 5E: Climate Change and Environment IV | 1 | The Synergetic Effects of Government Concerns and Public Awareness on Environmental Protection | 2 | The Economic Impact of Weather Shocks on a Cold-Climate Developing Economy: Evidence from Mongolia | 3 | Productivity Impact of Temperature Change: Evidence from Indonesia Household-based Enterprises Survey | 4 | Do Natural Hazards Affect Men and Women Differently? Evidence from Bangladesh Using Gender-Disaggregated Rapid Survey Data |
(Room 345, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 5F: Interest Rate and Debt Financing | 1 | Imbalance and Reallocation of Funds under Chinese Quantity-based Monetary Policy | 2 | Unlocking Growth: The Cross-Market Spillover Effect of Equity Market Liberalization on Bond Costs | 3 | Migration and Municipal Bond Pricing: Evidence from China’s Household Registration Reform | 4 | Spillover Through Sovereign Risk: US Monetary Policy and Emerging Economies |
(Room 131, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 5G: Demographic Economics | 1 | Signing for Safety: Can Mandatory Marriage Registration Reduce Domestic Violence? | 2 | A House for My Family: The Impacts of Down Payment Rate on Marriage and Fertility | 3 | Extreme Weather Events and Violence Against Children | 4 | Me After You: Spousal Death and Economic Adjustments in a Developing Economy |
(Room 132, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 5G: Labor III | 1 | Bride Price and Marriage Intentions Among Young Male Migrants in China: Evidence Among Manufacturing Gig Workers | 2 | Estimating Social Welfare Program Demand Among Informal Workers in Urban India: Evidence from Lab in the Field | 3 | Quitting Behavior of Gig Manufacturing Workers: Virtual and Offline Peer Effects | 4 | Energy Poverty and Unpaid Work: Evidence from Rural China |
3:15 pm–3:30 pm (outside Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Coffee break | ||||||||
3:30 pm–5:00 pm | Parallel Session 6A - 6G | ||||||||
(Room B101, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 6A: Domestic Resource Mobilization and Governance III | 1 | How Transplanted Institutions Diverge: Evidence from a Per-day Penalty Pilot in China | 2 | How Redistributive is Fiscal Policy in China? New Evidence on Distributional Impact of Taxes and Spending | 3 | Private Returns to Bureaucratic Appointments: Evidence from Financial Disclosures in India | ||
(Room 245, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 6B: Technology and Innovation III | 1 | Memory Constraints in the Adoption of Productive Technologies | 2 | Defensive Innovation: Technological Rivalry and College Major Choice | 3 | Impact of Technology Adoption on Labour Productivity: The Case of the Pharmaceuticals Industry in Bangladesh | ||
(Room 246, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 6C: Health II | 1 | Breathing Risk: The Effect of Urban Air Pollution on Fatal Traffic Accidents | 2 | The Persistent Health Effects of Defoliating Vietnam | 3 | Behavioral Responses to Vaccine Costs and Nudges | ||
(Room 249, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 6D: Regional Integration and Economic Cooperation II | 1 | Macroeconomic Impacts of the Carbon Transition in Vietnam | 2 | Quantifying the Trade Creation and Trade Diversion Effect of Regional Trading Agreements | 3 | The Role of Geopolitics in International Trade | ||
(Room 344, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 6E: Infrastructure II | 1 | From Accessibility to Prosperity: The Impact of Rural Power Upgrade on Household Income | 2 | Paving Pathways of Migration: Evidence from India's Golden Quadrilateral Highway | 3 | Navigating WASH Challenges in Rural Areas: Peer Effects and Infrastructure | ||
(Room 345, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 6F: Labor IV | 1 | State Retreats and Labor Market Advances? Evidence from China | 2 | The Effects of Nutrition Support on Behavioral Outcomes and Labor Productivity | 3 | Raising the Bar: The Impact of Increasing Minimum Working Age on Education and Labor Market | ||
(Room 131, ChengZe Garden) | Parallel Session 6G: Gender II | 1 | Gendered Transport Subsidy and Its Short Run Effect on Female Employment: Evidence from Delhi’s Pink Pass Scheme | 2 | How WEIRD? Experimental Impacts of An Empowerment Training and Cultural Agency Models on Female Microfinance Members in Vietnam | 3 | Fertility Policy and Female Entrepreneurship: Evidence from the One-Child Policy in China | ||
| END OF CONFERENCE | |||||||||